美國ADP就業變化週報

美國紅皮書同比

美國紐約聯邦儲備銀行1至4個月期公債購買計劃

美國成屋銷售

The US NFIB Small Business Optimism Index jumped to 99.8 in July 2026, the highest since August last year, compared to 97.4 in June and beating forecasts of 97.5. Of the 10 Optimism Index components, eight increased, and two decreased. Hiring plans improved substantially and contributed most to the rise in the Index. Real sales expectations and reports of inventory levels as “too low” both fell by 2 points. The Uncertainty Index rose 2 points from June to 91, remaining well above its historical average of 68. The rise was driven by an increase in owners reporting uncertainty about whether it is a good time to expand and capital expenditure plans.

US Small Business Optimism Hits Highest Level in Nearly a Year

Canada 10 Year Government Bond Yield increased to 3.75%, the highest since May 2024. Over the past 4 weeks, Canada 10Y Bond Yield gained 15.60 basis points, and in the last 12 months, it increased 32.50 basis points.

Canada 10Y Bond Yield Hits 26-month High

Switzerland's 10-year government bond yield rose above 0.4%, rebounding from a one-month low, as uncertainty surrounding the Middle East conflict remained elevated while domestic inflation pressures eased. Tougher demands from Washington toward Iran clouded prospects of a peace agreement, pushing oil prices higher. However, Swiss inflation eased to 0.4% in July from 0.5%, its lowest level in four months, highlighting the limited pass-through from higher energy prices linked to geopolitical tensions. The reading contrasted with the Swiss National Bank's expectation of a modest near-term pickup in inflation, following its decision to hold its policy rate at 0%. The SNB is expected to leave borrowing costs unchanged throughout the year, with further cuts remaining a contingency rather than the base case, citing no severe damage to Swiss banks. While most economists see the first SNB rate hike in early 2028, currency markets continue to price in an increase as early as March 2027.

Swiss Bond Yield Rebounds From One-Month Low

Mongolia’s trade surplus widened to USD 767.0 million in July 2026, from USD 217.1 million in the same month a year earlier, marking the highest level since March. Exports climbed 54.8% year-on-year to USD 1,812.0 million, while imports rose at a softer pace of 9.6% to USD 1,045.1 million. Over January-July, exports jumped 57.5% to USD 12,205.9 million, driven by higher shipments of mineral products (64.2%), particularly bituminous coal (59.0%) and copper ores and concentrates (89.7%). Among key trading partners, China remained the main export destination, accounting for 94.3% of total exports, followed by Switzerland (3.3%). Meanwhile, imports increased 10.4% to USD 7,158.1 million, supported by higher purchases of mineral products (35.7%), particularly oil products (35.0%), while machinery, equipment, and electrical appliances (8.8%) also posted an increase. China accounted for the largest share of imports (40.2%), followed by Russia (27.7%) and Japan (9.2%).

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