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Canada’s Raw Materials Price Index (RMPI) rose 1.7% month-over-month in September 2025, rebounding from a 0.8% decline in August. The increase was mainly driven by higher metal ore prices (6.3%), led by gold, silver, and platinum group metals (9.6%). Prices climbed for both gold (9.1%) and silver (10.3%) ores and concentrates. In contrast, crude energy products fell 0.9%, with synthetic crude down 2.2% and conventional crude down 0.4%. Oil prices weakened as markets priced in higher OPEC+ supply from a planned output increase in November and softer fuel demand amid signs of a slowing US economy. Excluding crude energy products, the RMPI increased 3.1%.

Canada Raw Materials Prices Rise in September

Canada’s industrial producer prices rose 0.8% month-over-month in September, marking the fourth consecutive monthly increase, following a downwardly revised 0.2% gain in August. The rise was driven by primary non-ferrous metals (+5.9%), with unwrought silver and silver alloys up 12.3% and unwrought gold and gold alloys up 9.1%, posting their largest monthly gains since April 2024 after the US Federal Reserve’s September 17 rate cut and amid expectations of further easing. Energy and petroleum products (+1.4%) also contributed, led by diesel (+2.5%) and finished motor gasoline (+1.4%). Meat, fish, and dairy products (+0.7%) rose, supported by fresh and frozen chicken (+4.3%) and beef and veal (+1.4%). Offsetting the gains, lumber and other wood products fell 4.4%, with softwood lumber down 10.7% following higher US duties on Canadian imports.

Canada Producer Prices Rise for Fourth Straight Month

UK natural gas futures hovered near 80 pence per therm, moving in a tight range as ample supply offset geopolitical risks. EU gas storage remains over 82% full, easing competition for LNG cargoes and helping stabilize UK prices. Strong LNG imports and steady Norwegian pipeline flows continue to compensate for reduced Russian gas. At the same time, weaker Chinese demand from Russia’s Arctic LNG 2 project has freed up more supply for Europe. However, Russia’s attacks on Ukraine’s gas infrastructure have disrupted output by nearly 60% this month, forcing DTEK to halt production in Poltava and damaging Naftogaz facilities. Meanwhile, colder weather forecasts could lift heating demand. In domestic developments, Shell UK began production at the Victory gas field in the North Sea, expected to supply 150 million cubic feet per day.

UK Natural Gas Futures Trend Lower

Turkey’s BIST 100 index fell to around the 10,000 level in October 2025, its lowest since early July, before staging a modest rebound. The benchmark remains well below its record high set in August, as investors continue to weigh political uncertainty and rising inflation pressures. A key focus is the Turkish court ruling on the leadership dispute within the main opposition CHP, scheduled for October 24th. Adding to political tensions, prosecutors have sought authorization from the Interior Ministry to investigate Ankara Mayor Mansur Yavas, another potential challenger to President Erdogan. On the economic front, annual inflation accelerated for the first time in fifteen months, reaching 33.29% in September, though the central bank is still widely expected to deliver a 100 basis-point reduction this week. In corporate news, defense firm Aselsan has soared nearly 200% year to date, reflecting strong performance in the global defense sector, buoyed by rising military budgets worldwide.

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